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- Gaza Ground Operation’s Second Phase Intensifies Risk of Wider Regional Conflict, Experts Warn The 2nd phase of Gaza ground operation increases the risk of regional escalation. IDF forces will remain partially preoccupied with an increased violence in the West Bank with a growing risk of sporadic attacks in Israel, especially in Jerusalem. (Assessment, Stratfor)
- Israeli intelligence failure was inconceivable – Israeli intelligence failure was inconceivable. Evidence says though intelligence was available to Israeli consumers, their biases and preoccupations prevented them from exploiting it. Lesson: decision-makers should remain open to intelligence not aligned with or augmenting their own thinking. (Col Pradeep Jaidka, VIF)
- Nawaz Sharif’s Return Prompts Expedited Reversal of Charges in Bid to Thwart Khan’s Election Victory, Alleges Insider Nawaz Sharif’s return and his fast-track reversal of criminal charges and cases are driven by establishment’s desire for an election that Khan does not win. But it will only turn into a political triumph if the military establishment fundamentally changes its behaviour. (Hussain Haqqani, Hudson Institute)
- “Canada’s Ongoing Neglect of Pakistan-Khalistan Nexus Ruffles Feathers Amid Intensifying Indian Concerns” Despite Strong Indian concerns, Canada continues to overlook Pakistan-Khalistan nexus. Islamabad has been pushing Khalistan propaganda as part of its “Kashmir-Khalistan” theory for geopolitical reasons, mainly avenging the loss of East Pakistan in 1971 war with Bharat. (Anurag Sharma, VIF)
- “Global Landscape Sees Resurgence of Hard Power: Militaristic Measures, Economic Pressure, and Political Intrigue on the Rise” World is increasingly witnessing a resurgence of hard power, characterized by use of military force, economic coercion, and political manipulation. To be a global power, India needs to focus on its military capabilities, enhance economic influence, and expand diplomatic outreach to counter China. (Harsh V. Pant, ORF)
- “Modi’s Foreign Policy Marks Success in the Middle East: Region Highlights One of India’s Biggest Diplomatic Triumphs” The Middle East has been one of the biggest success stories of Modi’s foreign policy in the last decade. But the Israel-Hamas conflict and Qatar’s decision to charge Indian Navy ex-servicemen will likely provoke a policy rethink in India. (Harsh V. Pant, ORF)