Hamas: Stronger than You Think
Palestine issue has returned to top of regional agenda, with Hamas in the lead, enjoying support beyond Iran/partners. Even Saudi Arabia is calling for weapons exports ban for Israel. Overt support for Hamas may be muted, but none is demonstrating for PLO, PA, or Fatah. Source: Ben Scott, Lowy Institute
Cease-Fire Extension: Israel’s Battle Plans amid Hostage Release Talks
The Israel-Hamas cease-fire extension may release more hostages and prisoners, however, this will reduce diplomatic pressure on Israel to end military campaign to overthrow Hamas in Gaza. Israel remains committed to its goal and has approved battle plans for post-cease-fire operations. Source: Stratfor
Fragile Cease-Fire: Hamas Holds Ground despite Intense Attacks
The cease-fire agreement demonstrates that Hamas remains a coherent organisation despite 47 days of intense Israeli aerial/ground attacks. Looking ahead, if an extension is not declared, there is a high probability of renewed hostilities breaking out , as the final hostages have been released and last aid trucks have arrived. Source: Leo Thurn, Geo Political Monitor
Pakistan’s Water Crisis: A Tale of Mismanagement and Inequality
Pakistan water crisis is more about equity, access and inter-sectoral distribution. Despite having enough water for everyone, millions suffer due to its primary cash crops (sugar and cotton) water consumption. This is made worse by the perennial political resistance to reform. With worsening climate crisis, addressing structural issues in Agri-sector becomes paramount. Source: Uzair Sattar, Stimson
China Exploits Global Conflicts to Gain International Support
China is exploiting global conflicts, gaining international support in areas not aligned with Western foreign policy. Biden admin is overstretched/unprepared, and its piecemeal foreign policy approach is aiding China. US must rapidly enhance its military and diplomatic presence and strengthen its Counter-China coalition. Source: Dan Blumenthal, American Enterprise Institute