The Yemeni Forces Disrupt Israeli-Bound Ships in Red Sea. The disruption to Red Sea shipping could create a strong headwind for the global economy, particularly in energy-importing regions. The longer Israel-Hamas war lasts, the longer shipping disruptions in the Red Sea will continue. It would potentially destabilize the regional economy and spilling over into the global economy. Source: Hung Tran, Atlantic Council
The Re-emergence of the Palestine Question in World Politics
The US policy of neglecting the Palestinian issue contributes to Middle East destabilization, risking increased turmoil. The failure to apply global principles in negotiations, exemplified by the Biden administration’s alignment with Netanyahu, is worsening conflicts. To achieve stability, policymakers must address Palestinian sovereignty claims. It means renouncing the belief that maintaining the status quo can bring security to all, including Israel. Source: Dana El Kurd, Foreign Policy Research Institute
Israel Tells US it wants Hezbollah Pushed Further from Border
Israel has asked the Biden administration to negotiate a larger buffer zone with Lebanon. It could mean pushing Hezbollah about 6 miles from the border. Diplomacy attempts are underway, but Tel Aviv wants quick progress to allow its displaced citizens to return home. The US fears escalating border skirmishes may escalate into a major war, worse than Gaza. Source: Barak Ravid, Axios
How Central Asia became a Key Region for the West
Central Asia, especially Kazakhstan, is becoming increasingly significant for the West. The region’s vast energy reserves, strategic location and alternative trade routes make it an important area of focus. As China and Russia’s interests in the region diverge, Western nations and the US are deepening their engagement with the states to forge valuable partnerships. Source: Michael Rossi, Lowy Institute
How Ideology Shapes Indian Politics
The ideological differences between political parties have polarized the political environment in India. The BJP’s strong ideological stance on state intervention, historical inequalities, and Hindu nationalism is reshaping the Indian political landscape for the 2024 elections. The left, including Congress, needs to better define its position and claim ownership of key issues to counter the BJP’s ideological influence. Source: Nicholas Haas and Rajeshwari Majumdar, Carnegie
India’s Elections Will Increase Inter-Communal Tensions
India’s government plans to focus on economic development and welfare policies to secure re-election in April–May 2024, but the risk of inter-communal violence will increase before and after the vote. Modi is likely to win, reinforcing cooperation with the US to counter China’s influence. Indian would foster military ties and reducing dependence on Chinese imports. Source: Stratfor Annual Forecast
Secret Pakistan Document Undermines Espionage Case Against Imran Khan
The prosecution alleges Imran Khan’s mishandling of a diplomatic cable compromised Pakistan’s encryption system, but a leaked ISI memo says otherwise. This weakens a key charge against Khan, who remains popular despite his removal. While Khan faces legal challenges, ISI-Policy Matters internal assessment raises questions about the basis of the encryption charge and political motives behind his imprisonment. Source: Ryan Grim and Murtaza, The Intercept