Oslo Failed: Time for US to Recognize Palestinian State
The Oslo peace process has failed. Indefinitely delaying Palestinian statehood has only strengthened violent actors like Hamas. US now needs to shift from conflict management to resolution, strengthen the PA, and recognize the Palestinian State. Source: Abe Silberstein, War on the Rocks
US Faces Growing Crisis as Israel Eyes Second Front in Lebanon
Despite increasing pressure from US to rein in the Gaza war, Israel’s Defense Minister is suggesting they could soon open a northern second front to push Iran-backed Hezbollah back from the border beyond the Litani River in southern Lebanon. Source: Jamie Dettmer, Politico
China’s Mideast Bases Complicate US’s Asia Pivot
China’s potential military bases in UAE and Oman complicate US efforts to shift resources away from Middle East to Asia. Despite withdrawing from Middle Eastern wars, US would need to refocus on regional diplomacy, potentially leveraging US-Iran deal to foster stability and reduce the appeal of Chinese security assistance. Source: Henry Storey, Lowy Institute
Pakistan at a Crossroads: Democracy, Extremism, and the US Alliance
Pakistan faces 4 national challenges: the end of army-dominated political process, democratization, combating extremism, and reshaping its US alliance. It can test great power coexistence and collaboration with US if the latter focuses on US-Pakistan relationship, and reconsiders its reactions to China’s presence. The US should work with Pakistan beyond terrorism. Source: Syed Mohammad Ali, Middle East Institute
Erdogan Links Sweden’s NATO Bid to F-16 Sale
Erdogan has linked Turkey’s National Assembly pending ratification of Sweden’s NATO bid to US’s approval of F-16 sale to Turkey. The turnaround suggests Turkey may delay ratification to pressure US, potentially prompting pressure from Sweden and other allies. Source: Stratfor