A recent poll by PCPSR on Palestinian opinions about the war reveals key insights. 45-54% expect a ceasefire soon, 70% in the West Bank and 50% in Gaza think Hamas will triumph, and 73% in the West Bank and 51% in Gaza believe Hamas will continue to rule post-war. Additionally, 75% in the West Bank and 38% in Gaza prefer Hamas for the government “day after,” while only 7% prefer the PA with Abbas. Source: Derek Lief, Inbar Noy-Freifeld and Rebecca, INSS
New Poll Sheds Light on Saudi Views of Israel-Hamas War
A new poll has revealed that Saudi citizens have shifted their attitudes towards the Israel-Hamas war, with 91% agreeing that the war in Gaza is a win for Palestinians, Arabs, and Muslims. Nearly all (96%) agree that Arab countries should break all diplomatic, political and economic contacts with Israel in protest against its military action in Gaza. Source: Catherine Cleveland and David Pollock, Washington Institute
How the Houthi Attacks Could Net Iran Billions of Dollars
The Bab el-Mandeb is a key shipping lane that Iran may be using the Houthis to disrupt. This could benefit the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) financially, as the IRGC controls a large portion of the Iranian economy. It could counter a new trade corridor. A new trade corridor being developed by the G20 would bypass Iran, potentially hurting the IRGC’s finances. The article suggests that Iran may be using the Houthis to disrupt the development of this corridor. Source: Michael Rubin, American Enterprise Institute
Secrecy shrouds British military actions in Lebanon
“The UK, discontent with its former imperial status, directs military and intelligence efforts towards Lebanon, Gaza, and Yemen. Speculation arises about its role in regional conflicts, particularly following a secret military cooperation agreement with Tel Aviv. The SAS’s involvement in Palestinian assaults prompts questions about defense obligations. Secrecy surrounding these activities leads to D-notices issued to British media, with investigations revealing covert initiatives and military transport flights to Tel Aviv, raising concerns about Britain’s undisclosed motives in the region.” Source: Kit Klarenberg, Cradle
India attributes everything to Pakistan, from Kashmir to Kerala
The Vivekananda International Foundation (VIF) an Indian public policy think-tank says “Pakistan’s ISI fuels separatism and terrorism in Kashmir. It exacerbate security concerns in regions like Kashmir Valley and Kerala. Islamic extremist groups, backed by Pakistan, play a pivotal role. Salafism, driven by ‘Petro-Dollar’ funding, is a root cause. Effective counter-radicalization demands a people-centric approach, including political integration, education, and fostering family values.” Source: Dhvani Samir Joshi, VIF
2024 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview
The world is preparing for a potential second Trump administration, which could lead to trade wars and skepticism about NATO. Political uncertainty ahead of the general elections will exacerbate the risks of unrest and limit reform prospects. A Trump victory could lead to renewed U.S. efforts to disentangle itself from international issues, including exiting the Paris Agreement and ending support for Ukraine against Russia. Source: Startfor